Bet On That: Tiger Woods Has The Worst Odds To Win The Hero World Challenge

Earlier this month, Tiger Woods’ agent Mark Stien announced that his client was cleared to resume all golf activity. News like this – as it usually does – set the social media world into a frenzy. And out of that debacle came a series a prop bets from Sky Bet and Westgate Las Vegas Sportsbook on how they think the 14-time major champion would fair in the 2018 season.

We took a look at those bets and determined that there were some interesting wagers the average gambler may or may not like to put some bread on.

Well, Sky Bet has released some updated prop bets for Woods’ first event, in light of his announcement yesterday about his return to golf at the Hero World Challenge. The gambling website gave Woods 50-1 odds of winning the tournament – which is the worst odds in the field.

Tiger has said in the past that he goes into every tournament to win, and nothing else. Unfortunately, he’ll face a very uphill battle to achieve a win in late Nov. against a stacked field that contains six players in the Official World Golf Ranking’s Top-10.

So let’s take a look at what Sky Bet has to offer with their updated prop bets:

Finish top 5 (including ties): 7/1 (Risk $100 to win $700)

Finish top 10 (including ties): 11/4 (Risk $100 to win $275.00)

Lead after Round 1 (including ties): 33/1 (Risk $100 to win $3,300)

Lead after Round 2 (including ties): 28/1 (Risk $100 to win $2,800)

Lead after Round 3 (including ties): 28/1 (Risk $100 to win $2,800)

Have a bogey-free round: 4/1 (Risk $100 to win $400)

Have a bogey-free first round: 16/1 (Risk $100 to win $1,600)

Make birdie or better first hole: 5/1 (Risk $100 to win $500)

Make an eagle in the event: 6/4 (Risk $100 to win $150)

Make a hole-in-one: 150/1 (Risk $100 to win $15,000)

Withdraw: 7/2 (Risk $100 to win $350)

Win wire-to-wire: 300/1 (Risk $100 to win $30,000)

The only prop bet that looks enticing here would be the 4/1 odds on a bogey-free round during the tournament or Woods withdrawing. Yes, they are polar opposites but think logically here: either Woods is good enough to stick around for all four rounds of the tournament or we will have a repeat of the beginning of the last season.

When Woods gave an update on his blog in September, he mentioned that: “it’s nice not to live in pain anymore. I’m sleeping better because I don’t have any nerve pain going down my leg. It makes a world of difference.”

He also added that he is back on a workout regimen that is allowing him to run and lift weights throughout the week. All promising signs that his back is recovering well.

If he is actually fully recovered, then there is no reason to think that he can’t shoot a bogey-free round in this tournament.

On the other side of things, a spinal fusion surgery is no joking matter. The lower back is so pivotal to a golf swing and it requires a lot of stress to be put on it to make a powerful swing like Tiger’s work. So there is some concern over whether Woods will be able to withstand the walking and swinging of a 72-hole tournament on the PGA Tour again.

Besides those two bets, all other wagers are a complete gamble (and likely not going to hit).