Joy. Agony. Elation. Despair. We’ll let you decide whether we’re talking about college football or gambling. Last week saw Georgia light up the scoreboard against Florida, Notre Dame waltz past NC State, and Ohio State prove their doubters wrong against the Nittany Lions.
With loads of conference matchups to come this week, it feels like some crazy results and upsets are due, but we’ll try our best to avoid those. Here are our five picks for week ten.
Banker of the Week: Wake Forest at Notre Dame -13.5
— Notre Dame Football (@NDFootball) October 31, 2017
Not only are Notre Dame 7-1 against the spread this season, they’re beating it by an average of 13 points. Wake Forest are a decent 5-2 against the spread, but lost star wide receiver Greg Dortch last week, who accounts for over 35% of their receptions and receiving yards. The Demon Deacons gave up a ridiculous 427 rushing yards to Georgia Tech in week eight, and the Irish are coming off a huge win against a good NC State team. The home side should cover this easily.
Prediction: Wake Forest 14 – 34 Notre Dame
Hunch of the Week: Oklahoma +2.5 at Oklahoma State
One word… #Bedlam
— Oklahoma Football (@OU_Football) October 30, 2017
It’s usually a pretty safe rule to take the underdog in conference matchups, especially when that underdog is really the better team. The Sooners have responded well since the upset against Iowa State, and we’d be taking them even if those two points swung the other way. Oklahoma is 5-1 against the spread in their last six matchups with the Cowboys, and Baker Mayfield has won this matchup two years running. The Cowboys’ potent offense has also slowed down in the last few weeks, averaging less than five yards per play against Texas and WVU.
Prediction: Oklahoma 38 – 34 Oklahoma State
Under of the Week: Syracuse at Florida State (Under 51 points)
— Syracuse Football (@CuseFootball) October 31, 2017
It would be nice if this line were a touchdown higher, but we’re still taking the under. The Seminoles offense looked just about as bad as it possibly could last week, and they’ve only hit the over once this season. Syracuse is 7-1 for the under this year, and with the Seminoles’ -10 turnover ratio don’t expect to see a lot of great offense in this one.
Prediction: Syracuse 20 – 21 Florida State
Over of the Week: North Texas at Louisiana Tech (Over 67 points)
🕷👻 🎃 HAPPY HALLOWEEN! 🎃👻🕷 pic.twitter.com/8T6BCeMJhJ
— Louisiana Tech (@LATech) October 31, 2017
To be honest, this line just looks too low. North Texas are beating the over by an average of 16 points this year, more than any other team in college football. The Mean Green average nearly 500 yards of offense a game, but have also given up at least 40 points in half of their games, including a 31-69 defensive horror show against Florida Atlantic in week eight.
Prediction: North Texas 42 – 41 LA Tech
Upset Alert: Auburn at Texas A&M +15
— Texas A&M Football (@AggieFootball) November 1, 2017
A&M could struggle to stop the run here, but we can’t see them losing by three scores. The Aggies rank second in the country in total sacks, and the only reason they aren’t first is because Clemson racked up 11 sacks in week two against guess who? Auburn. The Tigers’ protection has looked better since then, but that won’t stop the Aggies getting after QB Jarrett Stidham and keeping this one close. Oh, and A&M have covered in their last four meetings with the Tigers.
Prediction: Auburn 31 – 24 Texas A&M