Power Five: 5 College Football Picks For Week 11

It seems like college football only just started and we’re already nearing the end. Week 10 had its fair share of crazy games as Iowa obliterated Ohio State, Penn State fell to their second consecutive loss, Florida State won (seriously) and Oklahoma came out on top of a Bedlam game for the ages.

They say you only remember the games in November, and Week 11 brings us one week closer to bowl season. The big games this week see Notre Dame at Miami, while Oklahoma hosts TCU and Georgia travels to Auburn. Here are five picks to make a little profit along the way.

Banker of the Week: Georgia -2.5 at Auburn

Auburn struggle when their rushing attack struggles, and the Bulldogs are giving up just 3.1 yards per carry this season. The Tigers are 1-4 against the spread in their last five home games against teams with winning records, and have already failed their two biggest tests of the season so far (losses against Clemson and LSU). The Bulldogs are 6-3 ATS this season, and 5-1 ATS in their last six matchups with Auburn. Don’t expect an upset in this one.

Prediction: Georgia 24 – 17 Auburn

Hunch of the Week: Arizona State +3.5 at UCLA

There are rumours that Josh Rosen will play for the Bruins this week, but that won’t stop their defense being ripped apart by the Sun Devils. Of 130 FBS teams, UCLA ranks 125th in opponent points per game, giving up 38.8 per contest.

Rosen will also be without Darren Andrews and Caleb Wilson, who have 98 receptions and 11 touchdowns between them this year. The Bruins are 1-5 against the spread in conference games this season, the complete opposite of Arizona State, who are 5-1 ATS in Pac-12 games.

Prediction: Arizona State 41 – 34 UCLA

Under of the Week: Wake Forest at Syracuse (Under 66 points)

Syracuse have only hit the over once in nine games this season, and in conference matches they are 5-0 for betting the under. QB Eric Dungey threw for nearly 400 yards last week against FSU, but that didn’t stop the Orange from falling to yet another one-possession loss, and this one will be another tight encounter. Wake Forest’s defense is better than the stats suggest; take the under.

Prediction Wake Forest 28 – 31 Syracuse

Over of the Week: Michigan at Maryland (over 45.5 points)

The worry about Michigan’s offense is all a bit over the top – the over has landed in 22 of the Wolverines’ last 30 games. Maryland has hit the over in all but one game this year, and are beating the line by an average of 12.9 points — only one team in the nation is beating the over by more (Louisiana-Monroe).

Injuries at the QB position is a concern for the Terrapins, but they’ve given up more than 30 points to Rutgers, Northwestern and Indiana, so the visitors might hit the over by themselves in this one.

Prediction: Michigan 38 – 14 Maryland

Upset Alert: Michigan State +17.5 at Ohio State

Since Mark Dantonio took over the Spartans in 2007, they have the sixth-best record in the country against the spread as an underdog. He just knows how to make his Spartans tough to beat, especially in conference matchups. Ohio State will still be reeling from their loss to Iowa, so the fact that you can get 17.5 points for the Spartans is insane. Four of the last six games between these two have been decided by three points or less and it could be a similar story here.

Prediction: MSU 21 – 24 Ohio State